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Czech Republic wireless subscribers to reach 14.7 million in 2013

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The total wireless subscribers in Czech Republic will increase from 13.1 million in 2008 to 14.7 million in 2013, reports Canada based IE Market Research Corp. (IEMR).

Their model predicts that the largest operator, T-Mobile, will see its subscriber base increase from 5.4 million in 2008 to 5.9 million in 2013. They also forecast that Telefonica will have 5.3 million subscribers and Vodafone will have 3.4 million subscribers in 2013.

"Vodafone continues to be the leader in subscriber growth in the Czech Republic wireless market. In 1Q 2009, Vodafone's mobile subscribers increased by 7.8%. We expect that Vodafone's subscriber base will continue to increase over the next five years to reach 3.4 million by the end of 2013," said Nizar Assanie, Vice President (Research) at IEMR.

"Although T-Mobile will continue to lead the Czech Republic in market shares, we expect that its market share will decline slightly from 36.6% in 2008 to 36.4% in 2013. Instead, Vodafone's subscriber market share will be increasing from 22.0% in 2008 to 23.1% in 2013."

"Our model predicts that the industry average ARPU will decrease from CZK 526 in 2008 to CZK 480 in 2013. T-Mobile's monthly ARPU will decline to 448 while that of Vodafone declines to 456 in 2013. However, we expect that Telefonica's ARPU level will increase from CZK 518 in 2008 to CZK 532 in 2013," said Mr. Assainie.

They also forecast that the industry average EBITDA margin (calculated as EBITDA/reported revenue) will fall from 45.3% in 2008 to 41.8% in 2013.

At the operator level, IEMR expects that Telefonica's EBITDA margin will fall from 45.3% to 38.4% and Vodafone's margin will fall from 38.3% to 30.5% over the forecast period, 2008 - 2013. However, profitability at T-Mobile will be improving in the coming years, with EBITDA margin increasing from 49.6% in 2008 to 52.3% in 2013.

On the web: IE Market Research Corp.

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Tags: t-mobile  telefonica  o2  base  iemr  Czech Republic